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View Full Version : Is now the best climate to start a business?


Brendan
14-11-08, 09:28 AM
I was just reading this article, and found it a great view on the current climate, and those wanting to start a business;

A start-up? Don't wind me up (http://smallbusiness.smh.com.au/starting/finance/a-start-up-don%27t-wind-me-up-909240870.html)



Many entrepreneurs would be forgiven for thinking the current environment is the worst time to be launching a business.

The reality is the financial crisis is stalling growth around the world but Australia is probably the best placed of the modern OECD economies to ride out the stormy times.

There has arguably never been a better time to launch a business in the market if we learn from the history of economic fall out.

There is an old saying in finance: ''when the tide goes out you work out who has been swimming naked'' and the recent collapse of ABC Learning Centres only reinforces this point.

On every occasion of tougher economic times the recovery has been marked by a time of the strong getting stronger, the weak weakening or ceasing to exist and the new having a far more level playing field to advance.

One of the key reasons for new players finding a level playing field is that the end, consumers or distributors, stockists or alliance partners are often more open to change given their own financial performance.
This provides opportunities for meetings, contracts and growth that was not possible during the more successful times.

It is critical that anyone starting a business now remain focused on cash flow, access to debt, the core product or service offering and just how to close the deal.

Far too many entrepreneurs get caught up in the emotion or culture of their business early on at a time when deal closing and cash flow are the two most critical elements.

The three critical areas to focus on are the strength of the value proposition, target market and a sustainable business model.

These three areas will provide the foundation throughout the early years and as a consequence it is critical to be honest about how well understood the fundamentals of these areas are.

It is much less about the perfect business plan and much more about understanding exactly what your proposition is, how it will reach the customer, at what price and importantly, if success presents itself will the business actually scale on a profitable business model.

The most common pitfalls in launching a business at any time are:


not closing the deal or sale
failing to commence the business in the form or at the price point that you seek to continue
not understanding the sustainability of the business model and assuming profit will just arrive after effort
underestimating the amount of cash the business requires and how it should be utilised
bringing the wrong people into the business
a lack of financial management discipline and reporting in the business

These do not change during tougher economic times and the big advantage a new business has at this time is an all round stronger focus on the basics out of absolute necessity to survive.

Another consequence of this tougher economic time is the loosening of the labour market which creates an opportunity for a new business to be more patient and selective in bringing the 'right' people into the business.

Starting a business is an exciting, challenging and potentially very rewarding time. Statistics and history tell us 80% of businesses fail in the first 12 months but the continual belief in innovation and the ability to be better than others in the market is what underpins the entire modern economy.

There is every reason to be optimistic about the Australian economy despite the current economic challenges and as the average bear market has lasted 14 months throughout history we are already well on the way to recovery.

Adrian McFedries is the Managing Director at DC Strategy.

axeray
05-01-09, 06:43 AM
IMO, there is no bad time to start a business if there is a demand in the market and potential profit opportunities.

Slade
07-01-09, 08:23 AM
IMO, there is no bad time to start a business if there is a demand in the market and potential profit opportunities.

In your opinion, what sort of business do you think would thrive in this current climate?

jacylnong
12-01-09, 03:24 PM
In your opinion, what sort of business do you think would thrive in this current climate?

I would say businesses that are of necessity to the consumers (food, health, etc).

Another option would be products that are targeted towards kids/teens which I would say have not learn the value of money ;).

HWT
27-01-09, 09:20 PM
Kids/teens generally don't have their own money, its the parents who buy them stuff.

The kids never stop demanding in difficult times though.

OutsourceSurvival.com
09-02-09, 03:51 PM
lol that 'old business saying' is from Warren Buffet from 2007 :) (http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Warren_Buffett)

The Sage from omaha's quotes age quickly it seems :)

I'd personally be careful of getting into anything that is exposed to discretionary spending. US banks are still failing, Asian banks are next, as the shock works its way back along the supply chain.

Until the contraction is complete, its impossible to guess how hard or long this recession is going to go for.

Something I read just recently in "Illusions of Entrepreneurship" (amazon it- academic pooh-pooh common myths) is that entrepreneurs often increase the probability that they'll fail by selecting weak or over competitive industries. I'd suggest anything that is discretionary is weak, and will get weaker.

People always have their vices though, gambling, alcohol, (maybe online games/distractions?) etc will probably stay strong... but a recession is by definition a contraction in wealth, so its all going to be relative.

Cheers
Hugh

Vortilla
19-06-09, 12:25 PM
Not the easiest business type to start, but it appears that the humble pawn shop is really thriving during these tough economic times.

http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20090517/BUSINESS/905170307/Pawnshops+prospering

http://abcnews.go.com/Business/Economy/Story?id=4240875&page=1

gerryonline
22-06-09, 03:24 PM
I always thought Pawn shops were slowly going out of business due to ebay, trading post etc..?

Do you know anyone who still uses these?

The Start Up Sage
06-08-09, 07:08 PM
There are some extra resources on the Business Switch site for those interested in whether the time is good, bad or indifferent to start a business. Go to www.business-switch.com.au/resources (http://www.business-switch.com.au/resources)

If you want to take a hard look at the 'makings' of American entrepreneurs, download the Kauffman Entrepreneurs Report. Always interesting to read.

Just out of interest, do you think the 'makings' of Australians entrepreneurs would be similar?

The Start Up Sage
Business Switch (http://www.business-switch.com.au)

abd
30-08-09, 09:34 PM
I think now is actually a good time to start up a business. Just make sure you save away about 15-20% of your profits just in case the economy takes a turn for the worst